Our Mid Atlantic energy analyst friend today opines on the new EPA power grab (Re: drilling/air quality requirements):

The EPA issued its “final rules” (more on that phrase in a minute) for methane emissions from new and reworked shale wells, which are described in more detail below. The rules will be phased in, but they are not subject to further comment. A couple of comments:

  • There was a report this morning from Bloomberg that the regulations were much worse than expected, and that they came down much harder on existing wells (including stripper wells) than had been expected. The link is directly below. Since then, we have not found any such analysis anywhere else.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-05-12/for-oil-drillers-obama-methane-rule-is-worse-than-proposed

  • In fact, the analysis supplied by our friends at Washington Analysis puts the “final” rules into perspective, andsays they “will have limited impact on E&P  companies”. They outline their reasons for this statement below.
  • But it is a misuse of the word to consider these rules “Final”. This is just the opening salvo from the inglorious bastards at the EPA. It is a fact of our society that “regulators regulate”, and the only direction for regulation is expansion of the same.
  • The cost/benefit analyses done by the EPA to justify the rules are an absolute joke. We will not deal with them tonight, but they might be good material for a future note. The health benefits from curtailing widely disbursed methane emissions cannot really be subject to numerical estimation (unless perhaps the originator has practiced such sleight of hand by calculating how much more severe a rain storm is due to Climate Change).

These regulations will be litigated, they will be decried by Republicans (who in the end will, predictably, do nothing), and the EPA will move on to setting regulations for existing wells, while tightening the tolerances on new wells.

More on this subject as it comes out!