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Alaska Governor Bill Walker has continued to accrue ill will reflecting a lack of confidence in his leadership. In recent posts, readers will note:
- The governor has called for yet another special session of the Legislature to consider matters lawmakers rejected in the recently adjourned special session. (What do they call it when one continues doing the same thing while expecting a different result?)
- The governor has insisted that the people and legislature give more “revenue” to government before significantly cutting personnel or agency operations.
- When the legislature adjourned the last special session urging the governor to join them in more significantly cutting personnel and agency operations before considering new “revenue”, he responded by cutting the permanent fund dividend amount and delaying industry tax credit payment obligations, which didn’t built up his support base or enhance Alaska’s investment climate reputation. We would have approved of the Permanent Fund action if that action had been accompanied by dramatic cuts of government agency authorized positions, operating budgets and programs (The Permanent Fund dividend is not a needs based welfare program. Just as dividends were created to equally benefit every citizen, so should any reduction in the dividend apply equally to every citizen). In short, we see insufficient effort to “right size” or “make sustainable” the annual operating budget. Instead, we see effort to keep government “whole” at the expense of others.
- He has signaled an interest in somehow arranging for state control over an as-yet economically infeasible gas pipeline when the state’s largest investors believe that a more cautious approach is justified in light of current world economics and energy price projections. This, after his effort to have state government exert control over a brand new gas distribution facility for Fairbanks. (A new phrase comes to mind. No, not, “North To Alaska”. Instead, “Alaska, Venezuela North”. We believe that the administration’s movement toward socializing/nationalizing the state’s energy industry could be a major, as yet unaddressed consideration for the nation’s credit rating agencies that have been issuing negative economic outlooks and downgrading Alaskan creditworthiness for several years.).
Below are other viewpoints covering the current status of Alaska’s fiscal crisis and its, to date unsuccessful, effort to develop a sustainable fiscal policy. -dh
Today’s headlines from around Alaska re: State’s fiscal crisis (Courtesy: House Majority)
Gov. Walker’s budget vetoes total $1.29B; dividend cut in half
Industry, lawmakers criticize Walker’s oil tax credits veto
DOC to close corrections facility after Governor’s veto
Anchorage citizens react to PFD cuts
Legislative Council votes not to appeal Walker’s expansion of Medicaid eligibility
Walker shuts down mega-projects in wake of budgetary woes
Lawmakers skeptical of expanding state role in Alaska gas project
Gov. Walker’s vetoes cut more than $150M in school and university funding
Walker’s courage shines a bright light on legislators’ cowardice
Anchorage jobs down 1,100 from May last year
Alaska oil advocates urge Obama administration to leave Arctic drilling options open
Legislative Council drops Medicaid lawsuit against Gov. Walker
Gov cuts PFD, education, oil tax credits from 2017 budget
New AGDC president gets grilled by resource committees
Constrained Inlet gas market remains a quandary
Furie takes first steps toward adding Inlet oil platform
BlueCrest celebrates start of 30-year oil production project
AJOC EDITORIAL: Legislators have only selves to blame for vetoes
DNR transition at top takes place amid budget challenges
COMMENTARY: Kenai River king salmon management is opportunity vs. conservation
US Education Department reviewing Alaska testing waiver
University of Alaska hit with $10 million veto; Fairbanks road projects lose funds
Walker caps PFD at $1,000 amid $1.29 billion in budget vetoes
Walker limits PFD checks to $1,000
Empire Editorial: Our veto forecast came true: Legislature must now act
With vetoes, Walker slashes into city budget
My turn: the University of Alaska is rising to the occasion
Walker announces $1.29 billion in vetoes, reduces dividend to $1,000 this year
1,100 Anchorage jobs lost between May 2015 and May 2016, report finds
Death of mega-project Susitna-Watana Dam celebrated in Talkeenta
AGDC president on AKLNG project: ‘Project is not moving forward’
Gov. Walker caps this year’s PFD checks at $1,000
Brad Keithley, NGP Photo by Dave Harbour
Today’s Post From O&G Analyst Brad Keithley
From Alaska Headlamp THIS MORNING:
Governor Walker had a busy day yesterday with bill signings and budget vetoes:
- THUMBS UP to Governor Walker for vetoing more than $600 million from the FY 17 budget by establishing a $1000 PFD for this year. Whether Alaskans agree with the concept of restructuring the permanent fund and capping the PFD or not, they must give credit to the Governor for risking his political future to do what he thinks is right for Alaska.
- THUMBS DOWN to the Governor for vetoing $430 million from the oil and gas tax credit fund, acknowledging that the veto was simply a delay in making payments that are owed, creating a more uncertain and unstable investment climate.
- THUMBS DOWN to the Governor for signing HB 247 – the 6th change to Alaska’s oil and gas tax system in 11 years. HB 247 is policy developed to close a budget gap, not policy designed to lead to increased investment and increased production.
AK Headlamp
A project of the Alaska Support Industry Alliance
3301 C Street
Anchorage, AK 99503
Today’s Anchorage Daily Planet Editorial: Walker’s vetos, dividend cuts sure to spark ire
‘Day of reckoning’: Walker vetoes hundreds of millions in spending, caps PFD at $1,000
Gov. Bill Walker said Alaska, facing a $4 billion hole blown into the budget by low oil prices and dwindled production, can no longer sustain high annual payments from the $52 billion fund.
Lawmakers skeptical of expanding state role in Alaska gas project
One lawmaker called the proposed direction a “massive” change, raising alarms the state would face huge risk
Walker’s vetoes cut more than $150M in school and university funding
Anchorage jobs down 1,100 from May last year
The oil and gas industry saw a 10.8 percent decline in jobs.
Other items of interest to NGP readers…and our archives:
Alaska oil advocates urge Obama administration to leave Arctic drilling options open
Our Aussie energy analyst friend opines today on two items of particular interest to our Canadian and American readers:
Commodity markets
The oil price continued its rebound overnight (US$50 again – hurrah! – unless you are of the anti-goldilocks persuasion…). Brent was up 3% to close at US$50.10 and WTI was up ~4% to close at US$49.88.
The EIA’s weekly report turbo-charged the post-Brexit bounce, with a fall in crude inventories of 4.1 mmbbls and a net reduction in product inventories of 0.4 mmbbls (gasoline up by 1.4 mmbbls and distillate down by 1.8 mmbbls).
Potentially striking oil workers in Norway and the looming collapse of Venezuela also continued to help the bulls (the former are in a somewhat better part of the oil patch than the latter).
Henry Hub had a flat day, closing down a tad at US$2.86.
LNG and international gas
One of our favourite topics in the international gas market is the status of the Power of Siberia pipeline from Russia to China (its sheer size will affect the global market and in particular gas suppliers fighting for Chinese custom).
This is arguably the most challenging on-shore pipeline development ever considered, given the near virgin Arctic terrain and the vast distance it covers.
The pipeline is supposed to start deliveries in 2018. We recently reported that only a tiny fraction of pipe had been laid to date. Russian news service Interfax has just reported that Gazprom intends to spend ~US$3B on Power of Siberia in 2016 and US$4B in 2017. We deduce from these numbers – which are small given the size and challenges of the pipeline – that deliveries commencing in 2018 are fanciful.
Start marketing, LNGers with spare gas.

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